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Macroeconomic Analysis

stronger job market

Red-Hot US Job Market Is Trump’s Shield against a Recession

President Trump's reelection chances depend on a strong US economy. A stronger job market is one of the Trump administration's important achievements.
Dow Jones Index Iran War

Could the Dow Jones Withstand Iran War after Trade War?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and the S&P 500 futures are in the red today amid an escalation in US and Iran tensions.
stock markets

How Global Markets, Oil, and Gold Reacted to Iran Strikes

Global equity markets are weak today after Iran hit US military bases in Iraq. The Shanghai Composite and the Hang Seng fell 1.2% and 0.83%, respectively.
S&P 500

Strategists’ Target Prices for the S&P 500 in 2020

The S&P 500 (SPY) started 2020 at a record high. However, the geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East has increased the US equity market's volatility.
trade deficit

US Trade Deficit Tumbles: Trump Winning the Trade War?

The US trade deficit fell to a three-year low in November. President Trump has vowed to address the country’s massive trade deficit, especially with China.
Trump steel tariffs

Does Trade Theory Back Up Trump’s Steel Tariffs?

Recent research has found that Donald Trump’s tariffs have been almost entirely passed onto US consumers—except for his steel tariffs.

Time to Go Defensive Due to Rising Geopolitical Risks?

The US and Iran tensions have risen since the China trade war. Defensive investments might come into focus again due to increasing geopolitical tensions.
Marijuana Capacity

Is it Too Much Marijuana Capacity or Too Little Demand?

The cannabis industry is struggling. Marijuana company executives blame overcapacity and lack of demand for poor results.
S&P 500 stocks

These S&P 500 Stocks Have the Most ‘Sell’ Ratings

Among S&P 500 stocks, Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN) has the highest percentage of "sell" ratings based on a FactSet report released on December 23....