The US economy
In the last few months, many economists have raised concerns about a potential near-term recession. Last week, Morgan Stanley (MS) CEO James Gorman warned investors about the “disastrous” impact of a continued US-China trade war on the US economy, which could lead to a recession. Similarly, Jeffrey Gundlach, a notable investor and the CEO of DoubleLine Capital, sees a 40%–45% chance of a recession within the next six months. Within the next year, Gundlach sees a 65% chance of a recession.
At a time when many analysts have been warning about an upcoming recession, it’s difficult to find someone who’s still bullish about the stock market. That’s where Jim Cramer comes in.
Jim Cramer expects a long-lasting stock market rally
On June 17, CNBC’s Mad Money host Jim Cramer said that the stock market “rally could last a lot longer than most people expect.” He emphasized the importance of knowing the companies you invest in and making informed investment decisions.
While pointing to large household brands, Cramer said, “When they all move up together, [some] are going to say a recession must be around the corner.” But he denied the possibility of a near-term recession, saying, “At the moment I think their strength has much more to do with the fact that they’re well-run companies with huge buybacks, great balance sheets, good dividends and are working.”
What to expect?
However, uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US-China trade war could keep investors worried in the near term even if they don’t lead to a disaster or a recession as suggested by Gorman and Gundlach.