Analyzing the Top Upstream Gainers Last Week



Upstream stocks

On January 4–11, QEP Resources (QEP) gained the most on our list of upstream energy stocks from the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP). XOP rose 6.2%—the second-largest rise among the major energy ETFs that we discussed in the previous part of this series.

On January 7, QEP Resources announced that it has received “a preliminary proposal from Elliott Management Corp. (“Elliott”) to acquire the Company for $8.75 per share in cash, subject to certain conditions including, among others, satisfactory completion of due diligence and negotiation of definitive documentation.” On the same day, QEP Resources rose 40.3%.

Other outperformers

Chesapeake Energy (CHK), SM Energy (SM), Matador Resources (MTDR), and Hess (HES) were the second, third, fourth, and fifth-largest outperformers, respectively, on our list of upstream energy stocks last week.

On January 9, Chesapeake Energy reported its fourth-quarter preliminary results and operational details. On the same day, Chesapeake Energy rose ~12.7%. Chesapeake Energy has hedged ~16 MMbbls (million barrels) of 2019 oil production at $58.61 per barrel, which is higher than WTI’s forecast for 2019. Chesapeake Energy hedged 7 MMbbls of its 2019 forecasted production in the Eagle Ford at $6 more than WTI prices.

LLS (Louisiana Light Sweet) crude oil versus WTI at Cushing, or the LLS-WTC spread, fell to $4.5 per barrel on December 27—the lowest level since August 24. LLS is the benchmark for most light sweet crude produced in the Eagle Ford region in Texas.

On January 4, Hess announced that it will report its fourth-quarter earnings on January 30. Analysts’ consensus estimate suggests that Hess might report negative earnings of 21 cents per share.

Last week, US crude oil January futures closed at $51.59 per barrel, while natural gas January futures closed at $3.09 per MMBtu.

Next, we’ll discuss the biggest declines in the upstream energy space.

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