31 Jan

Where Analysts Stand on Total Stock

WRITTEN BY Maitali Ramkumar

Analysts’ ratings for Total

In this series, we’ve reviewed Total’s (TOT) 4Q17 earnings estimates, segment-wise outlook, stock performance, and expected stock price prior to its earnings release on February 8, 2018. In this part, we’ll review analysts’ ratings for Total.

Where Analysts Stand on Total Stock

As shown in the graph above, only one of the six analysts covering TOT in January 2018 has recommended “buy,” and five (83%) have recommended “hold.”

Total’s analyst ratings have weakened since January 2017, when it had more “buy” ratings and fewer “hold” ratings. During the same period, Total’s mean target price has risen 7% to $58 per share, and its actual stock price has risen sharply, by 17.0%. Therefore, implied gains (analysts’ mean target price over stock price) have fallen. Total’s mean price target, which implied an 8% gain in January 2017, now implies a 1% loss.

However, since October 2, 2017, the beginning of 4Q17, Total stock has risen 10.6%. Additionally, shareholders have received returns in the form of dividends from the company. Total’s current dividend yield stands at 4.8%.

Analysts’ ratings for Total’s peers

Peers Statoil (STO), ENI (E), and YPF (YPF) have been rated “buy” by 20%, 50%, and 100% of analysts covering them, respectively. ExxonMobil (XOM), BP (BP), and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) have been rated “buy” by 32%, 46%, and 91% of analysts. In the next part of this series, we’ll evaluate changes in Total’s short interest.

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