17 Apr

Is Duke Energy Stock Trading at a Fair Valuation?

WRITTEN BY Vineet Kulkarni

Market performance

Duke Energy’s (DUK) stock has risen more than 6.0% so far this year. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) has risen nearly 7.0% in the same period, average industry)(SPX-INDEX) has risen 3.0%.

The utilities sector constitutes nearly 3.2% of SPY. Duke Energy constitutes more than 8.2% of XLU. The graph below compares the performance of Duke Energy, XLU, and SPY over one year.

Is Duke Energy Stock Trading at a Fair Valuation?

Duke’s valuation

On April 13, 2017, Duke Energy (DUK) was trading at an EV-to-EBITDA (enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) valuation multiple near 10.0x. The industry average valuation is near 10.0x. Duke’s five-year average EV-to-EBITDA multiple is 11.0x.

Duke Energy seems fairly valued compared to peers such as Southern Company (SO) and NextEra Energy (NEE). Both these companies are trading at valuation multiples above 12.0x. Dominion Resources (D) is trading at a valuation multiple of 15.0x.

An EV-to-EBITDA ratio shows whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued, regardless of its capital structure. EV represents the combination of a company’s debt and market capitalization, minus its cash holdings.

PE multiple

Duke Energy appears to be trading at a premium, given its PE (price-to-earnings) multiple of 21.0x. Southern Company has a PE multiple of 19x. Historically, utilities have traded at an average PE multiple of 15.0x–16.0x. NextEra Energy and Dominion Resources have current PE multiples above 21.0x.

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