Mr. Trump Goes to Washington.
Throughout the election process, the major media came to the conclusion that Hillary Clinton was more likely to become the next president. And though the range of potential Electoral College outcomes was wide, the results were definitive. As Republican Donald J. Trump, a man who’s never held public office, prepares to become the 45th President of the United States, with the House and Senate under GOP control, markets prepare for an unbridled Republican agenda.
Still, there’s much uncertainty that remains about Trump’s policy agenda. Priorities have not been detailed. And while single-party rule may seem like an opportunity for carte blanche, not all Republican leaders in Congress will be completely aligned with all aspects of The Donald’s platform. And remember, Republicans will not have the 60 votes needed to pass most legislation in the Senate, as a result at least some bipartisan support will be needed to advance any bill; so nothing is a “slam dunk”.
How the market reacted to Trump’s election
November 8, 2016 marked a major political shift in the history of the United States as Donald Trump was elected as the next US president.
The graph above shows how the S&P 500 Index (SPXL) moved on November 8 and 9, 2016. Before the election, the market remained subdued due to the uncertainty of the election’s results. As the news came in, investors focused on the impact Trump’s policies could have on their investments. Trump’s election caused both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to spike 1.1% on November 9.
Meanwhile, European (EZU) and Chinese (FXI) stocks didn’t welcome Trump’s election. They fell 0.2% and -2.3%, respectively, due to the possibility of trade wars, which we’ll discuss in the coming articles.
While certain sectors are likely to benefit in the short term, the long-term impact of Trump’s election on the market remains largely unknown.
In the rest of the series, we’ll shed light on the sectors that are likely to outperform in the short term based on Trump’s agenda.