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ConocoPhillips’s Stock Price Rose in the Week Ending September 8

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Part 2
ConocoPhillips’s Stock Price Rose in the Week Ending September 8 PART 2 OF 3

ConocoPhillips: What Its Implied Volatility Says about Its Stock

Implied volatility

As of September 8, 2017, ConocoPhillips (COP) had an implied volatility of ~21.3%—lower than its implied volatility of ~25.5% at the end of 2Q17.

ConocoPhillips: What Its Implied Volatility Says about Its Stock

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Price range forecast

Based on ConocoPhillips’s implied volatility of ~21.3%, assuming a normal distribution of prices, 365 days in a year, and a standard deviation of one, its stock is expected to close between $45.78 and $43.16 in the next seven calendar days. ConocoPhillips stock will stay in this range 68% of the time.

Peers’ price range forecast

As of September 8, 2017, Consol Energy (CNX) has an implied volatility of ~37.2%. Its stock is expected to close between $14.94 and $13.48 in the next seven calendar days. On September 8, Consol Energy’s stock price closed at $14.21.

Southwestern Energy (SWN) has an implied volatility of ~53.1%. Its stock is expected to close between $5.56 and $4.80 in the next seven calendar days. On September 8, Southwestern Energy’s stock price closed at $5.18.

Based on the inputs used to calculate the price range, there’s a 68% probability that the stocks will close in their range for the given period.

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