Inside Twitter’s Valuation

Twitter’s current book value per share of ~$6.5 compares with its expected book value per share of $6.4. Its shares are trading at a PBV ratio of ~2.8x.

Neha Gupta - Author
By

Jun. 23 2017, Updated 5:05 p.m. ET

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Inside Twitter’s price and valuation multiples

Twitter’s current book value per share of ~$6.5 compares with its expected book value per share of $6.4. Twitter (TWTR) shares are trading at a PBV (price-to-book value) ratio of ~2.8x.

By comparison, peer companies PayPal (PYPL), Facebook (FB), Alibaba (BABA), and Square (SQ) have current book values per share of ~$12.2, $21.5, ~$16.3, and ~$1.7, respectively.

Twitter’s PS (price-to-sales) ratio of ~5.3x also compares with its estimated PS ratio of ~5.7x.

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Twitter’s cash flow metrics

Twitter has $3.9 billion as cash in hand. Its PCF (price-to-cash-flow) and price-to-free-cash-flow are at 16.5x and 21.9x, respectively. For the trailing 12 months, the company’s EV (enterprise value)-to-cash-flow is 13.7x, and its EV-to-free-cash-flow is 18.3x.

A look at Twitter’s EBITDA numbers

Twitter’s EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) grew 20% to $159.7 million last year. Analysts are expecting the company to post EBITDA of $628.7 million. Twitter’s shares are changing hands at a price-to-EBITDA ratio of 83.1x.

By comparison, peer companies PayPal, Facebook, Alibaba, and Square are trading at price-to-EBITDA ratios of 27.2x, 27.4x, 42.9x, and 32.5x, respectively.

Earnings and sales

Twitter reported EPS (earnings per share) of -$0.65. Its EPS for the current quarter is expected to be $0.33. Its EPS last year came from total sales of ~$2.5 billion, which grew 4% annually. Its sales are expected to decline to ~$2.3 billion this year and to ~$2.4 billion next year.

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