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US Natural Gas Futures: What to Expect This Spring

PART:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Part 8
US Natural Gas Futures: What to Expect This Spring PART 8 OF 8

US Natural Gas Price Forecasts for May 2017 and Beyond

Natural gas prices and the resistance level 

As of April 20, 2017, US natural gas prices are above their 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages of $3, $3.1, and $3.1 per MMBtu (million British thermal units), respectively. Prices suggest more bullish momentum for natural gas (UGAZ) (FCG) (BOIL) prices.

If the weather drives demand, prices could even breach the key resistance of $3.50 per barrel in the short term. For more on natural gas price drivers and the weather, read Part 1 and Part 2 of this series.

Moves in natural gas prices can impact oil and gas producers’ earnings such as Rice Energy (RICE), Cimarex Energy (XEC), and Rex Energy (REXX).

US Natural Gas Price Forecasts for May 2017 and Beyond

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US natural gas price forecasts 

The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that natural gas prices could average $3.10 per MMBtu in 2017. It also estimates that natural gas prices could average $3.45 per MMBtu in 2018. Prices averaged $2.51 per MMBtu in 2016 and $2.63 per MMBtu in 2015.

Aegent Energy Advisors estimates that US natural gas prices won’t exceed $3.44 per MMBtu in May 2017. It also thinks that US natural gas prices won’t exceed $3.56 per MMBtu between May 2017 and October 2017.

Impact 

President Trump’s proposed energy policies could increase US natural gas production. A rise in US natural gas and crude oil output will have a negative impact on natural gas prices.

Read Could Trump Impact US Natural Gas Production and Consumption for more on the natural gas market outlook in 2017. Also, read Hedge Funds Increase Bullish Bets on US Natural Gas for more on the natural gas price forecast.

Read What Can Investors Expect in the Crude Oil Market in 2017? and EIA Downgraded Crude Oil Price Forecasts for 2017 and 2018 for more on crude oil prices.

For more energy-related analysis, visit Market Realist’s Energy and Power page.

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