Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square increased position in Burger King Worldwide (BKW) from 7.29% in 3Q 2013 to 10.66% in 4Q.
Activist investor Ackman highlighted his investment thesis in Pershing Square’s 2Q 2013 investor letter. He said, “Burger King today trades in-line with its nearly 100%-franchised QSR peer group on a forward P/E multiple basis (Dominos Pizza, Dunkin Donuts, and Tim Hortons). We believe this valuation understates Burger King’s intrinsic value principally for two reasons. First, we believe that Burger King deserves a higher valuation than its 100%-franchised peers because of its superior global footprint and global brand awareness, which, when coupled with the company’s global joint venture business model should allow for superior long-term growth and investment returns. Furthermore, we believe the company has a significant opportunity to improve earnings by refinancing approximately $1.4 billion of debt that currently bears interest at above-market rates (~10.5%). Refinancing this debt at what we deem to be a market rate (approx. 6%) would be 12% accretive to the 2014 consensus forecast of $0.91 per share as it would save the company $0.11 per share on an after-tax basis. It will become feasible for the company to cost-effectively call its debt beginning in the first half of next year.”
The letter further said, “Given that Burger King currently has less leverage than its peers (DNKN at 5.3x, Dominos at 4.8x, BK at 3.7x net debt to EBITDA), the company could choose to increase its leverage and return a large amount of capital to existing shareholders in the form of a dividend and/or share repurchase of as much as 30% of the market value of the company. We believe this refinancing and capital-return opportunity presents a significant, under-appreciated short-term catalyst for the stock. We continue to be impressed with the strength and execution of the BKW management team and the capital-light structure of its high growth business model.”
Burger King said sales were driven by introduction of new menu items such as the Big King sandwiches and Satisfries, lower-calorie French fries, helped increase sales. Plus, BBQ rib sandwiches helped drive incremental traffic in the value tier. The company opened 670 net new restaurants in 2013, representing a 38.1% year-over-year increase.
The company beat earnings estimates but missed on revenue. Global comparable store sales were up 1.7% in 4Q 2013 and 0.5% for full year 2013. The comparable sales growth was mainly from international markets as the U.S. and Canada saw a 0.2% increase in comparable sales during the quarter. The company announced the formation of new joint ventures in France (with Groupe Olivier Bertrand) and India (with Everstone Group) to expand into these markets.
Interested in BKW? Receive notifications on the latest research and sign up for a Market Realist account in one simple step: